Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Varone 47.7% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 91.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Staal
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Staal
Varone
Last 7: Staal 6-1 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Varone
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Staal
Varone
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
47.5% (575)
+8.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
38.5% (13)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
50.0% (2)
-2.1%
On power play, Staal has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Staal
Varone
Home
56.4% (9,699)
48.0% (221)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Staal
Varone
P1
55.2%
50.0%
P2
55.9%
42.7%
P3
54.8%
50.0%
OT
56.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |