Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.0%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Danault 54.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 55.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Staal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Staal
Danault
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Danault
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
6
Staal
Danault
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
56.2% (745)
+0.0%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
45.1% (51)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
51.6% (124)
-8.9%
On power play, Staal has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Staal
Danault
Home
55.4% (699)
56.7% (402)
Away
54.4% (702)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Staal
Danault
P1
55.7%
55.5%
P2
54.7%
54.2%
P3
53.4%
55.2%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |