Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Rakell 44.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Staal
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
4
(20 meetings)
16
4
Staal
Rakell
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Rakell
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Rakell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
2
Staal
Rakell
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
44.2% (1,886)
+11.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
50.2% (203)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
21.7% (23)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Staal
Rakell
Home
56.4% (9,699)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
42.4% (1,058)
By Period
Staal
Rakell
P1
55.2%
45.6%
P2
55.9%
41.9%
P3
54.8%
46.1%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |