Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Staal
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
48.8% (404)
+10.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
100.0% (1)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
43.6% (101)
+8.2%
On power play, Carpenter has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Staal
Carpenter
Home
57.0% (646)
48.9% (274)
Away
59.1% (729)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Staal
Carpenter
P1
55.9%
51.9%
P2
55.4%
49.4%
P3
62.0%
41.8%
OT
70.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
58.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |