Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Donato 44.7% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 85.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 71.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Staal
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Staal
Donato
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Staal
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
44.0% (1,218)
+11.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
46.0% (248)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
41.7% (12)
+6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Staal
Donato
Home
56.4% (9,699)
47.2% (743)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Staal
Donato
P1
55.2%
43.8%
P2
55.9%
44.9%
P3
54.8%
43.7%
OT
56.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |