Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — MacInnis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs MacInnis 47.3% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 80.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 88.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Staal
MacInnis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
MacInnis
Last 5: Staal 4-1 MacInnis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
MacInnis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacInnis
0
1
Staal
MacInnis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
MacInnis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacInnis
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
44.2% (86)
+11.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacInnis shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. MacInnis is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Staal
MacInnis
Home
56.4% (9,518)
39.2% (51)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
51.4% (35)
By Period
Staal
MacInnis
P1
55.1%
37.1%
P2
56.0%
44.8%
P3
55.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
MacInnis
46.0%▲
44.2%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |