Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Bennett 48.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Staal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Staal
Bennett
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
5
Staal
Bennett
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Bennett
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
46.4% (811)
+9.8%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
56.9% (153)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
47.8% (46)
-5.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Staal
Bennett
Home
55.4% (699)
49.9% (553)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Staal
Bennett
P1
55.7%
47.4%
P2
54.7%
46.8%
P3
53.4%
48.9%
OT
70.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |