Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Staal
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Staal
Reinhart
Last 5: Staal 5-0 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
44.6% (345)
+14.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
43.3% (97)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
43.2% (88)
+8.6%
On power play, Staal has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Staal
Reinhart
Home
57.0% (646)
47.9% (267)
Away
59.1% (729)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Staal
Reinhart
P1
55.9%
45.6%
P2
55.4%
42.0%
P3
62.0%
45.4%
OT
70.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |