Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Helenius 46.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 92.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Staal
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Helenius
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Helenius
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
45.8% (212)
+10.4%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
0.0% (1)
+66.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
25.0% (4)
+17.7%
On power play, Staal has a +66.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Helenius is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Staal
Helenius
Home
55.4% (699)
46.2% (104)
Away
54.4% (702)
44.2% (113)
By Period
Staal
Helenius
P1
55.7%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
38.6%
P3
53.4%
44.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |