Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Staal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Monahan
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
53.0% (874)
+3.2%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
54.7% (161)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
47.5% (101)
-4.8%
On power play, Staal has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Staal
Monahan
Home
55.4% (699)
53.8% (558)
Away
54.4% (702)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Staal
Monahan
P1
55.7%
49.5%
P2
54.7%
54.8%
P3
53.4%
52.8%
OT
70.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |