Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Crosby 55.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
10
Staal
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Staal
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
53.6% (1,008)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
65.0% (246)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
60.0% (15)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
55.4% (699)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.4% (702)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
55.7%
55.6%
P2
54.7%
53.3%
P3
53.4%
58.7%
OT
70.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |