Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
10
Staal
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Staal
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
53.3% (1,025)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
64.7% (249)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
60.0% (15)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
55.4% (699)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.4% (702)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
55.7%
55.1%
P2
54.7%
53.1%
P3
53.4%
58.5%
OT
70.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |