Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Oshie 47.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 91.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 67.4%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 91.8%
8.2%
91.8%
Staal
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Staal
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Staal
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
48.3% (29)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
46.3% (149)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
0.0% (2)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Staal
Oshie
Home
58.3% (705)
55.9% (93)
Away
53.3% (769)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Staal
Oshie
P1
54.5%
50.9%
P2
58.2%
42.9%
P3
54.1%
43.6%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |