Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Blueger 48.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 92.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Staal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Blueger
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
49.4% (265)
+6.8%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
66.7% (9)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
34.0% (50)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Staal
Blueger
Home
55.4% (699)
49.8% (215)
Away
54.4% (702)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Staal
Blueger
P1
55.7%
46.4%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
53.4%
44.8%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |