Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Stützle 52.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 77.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.1%
Neutral zone
Stützle 60.0%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Staal
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Stützle
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
3
Staal
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
52.7% (501)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
54.2% (59)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
56.3% (32)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Staal
Stützle
Home
55.4% (699)
51.9% (285)
Away
54.4% (702)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Staal
Stützle
P1
55.7%
51.6%
P2
54.7%
55.4%
P3
53.4%
52.2%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |