Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Nosek 58.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 82.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 71.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Staal
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Staal
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
59.7% (469)
-3.4%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
100.0% (4)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
56.5% (124)
-4.4%
On power play, Nosek has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Staal
Nosek
Home
58.3% (705)
59.0% (295)
Away
53.3% (769)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Staal
Nosek
P1
54.5%
56.3%
P2
58.2%
61.9%
P3
54.1%
59.2%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |