Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Smith 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 80.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 74.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 79.9%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Staal
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Smith
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Staal
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Staal
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
49.0% (769)
+6.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
63.6% (22)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
42.4% (118)
+5.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Staal
Smith
Home
56.4% (9,699)
52.4% (490)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Staal
Smith
P1
55.2%
46.9%
P2
55.9%
51.2%
P3
54.8%
47.7%
OT
56.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |