Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 66.6%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 52.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Staal
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
54.1% (355)
+2.1%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
53.8% (13)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
47.6% (143)
-4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Staal
Dellandrea
Home
55.4% (699)
54.3% (278)
Away
54.4% (702)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Staal
Dellandrea
P1
55.7%
54.2%
P2
54.7%
50.6%
P3
53.4%
51.8%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |