Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 63.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 56.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Staal
Trocheck
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Trocheck
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
58.0% (666)
-1.8%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
64.8% (165)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
43.4% (152)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
55.4% (699)
55.3% (436)
Away
54.4% (702)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
55.7%
56.4%
P2
54.7%
58.7%
P3
53.4%
55.5%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |