Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
58.5% (135)
-2.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
80.0% (5)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
44.4% (18)
-1.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
55.4% (699)
63.7% (91)
Away
54.4% (702)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
55.7%
54.4%
P2
54.7%
66.7%
P3
53.4%
51.9%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |