Jordan Staal vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Staal
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
45.1% (164)
+11.1%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
50.0% (2)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
45.2% (31)
-2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Staal
Girgensons
Home
55.4% (699)
44.6% (92)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Staal
Girgensons
P1
55.7%
44.2%
P2
54.7%
46.0%
P3
53.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |