Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Hertl 54.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 84.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Weal
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Weal
Hertl
Last 5: Weal 4-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
0
Weal
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Weal
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
3
0
Weal
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
53.9% (8,303)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
59.2% (1,995)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
46.3% (806)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Weal
Hertl
Home
53.2% (455)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
52.3% (549)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Weal
Hertl
P1
56.6%
53.6%
P2
50.7%
54.2%
P3
51.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |