Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 61.5%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 68.1%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Lehtera
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Lehtera
Stamkos
Last 10: Lehtera 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Lehtera
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Lehtera
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
50.5% (9,825)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
49.6% (827)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Stamkos
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Lehtera
Stamkos
P1
53.2%
49.2%
P2
50.6%
52.7%
P3
48.1%
50.9%
OT
54.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |