Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 66.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 89.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 85.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Bailey
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bailey
Jankowski
Last 5: Bailey 4-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
51.5% (3,490)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
53.7% (95)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
42.7% (534)
-2.8%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Bailey
Jankowski
Home
46.6% (1,353)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Bailey
Jankowski
P1
46.5%
49.8%
P2
44.8%
51.1%
P3
44.4%
50.3%
OT
51.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |