Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Acciari 53.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 63.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 93.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 64.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Bailey
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bailey
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
54.5% (532)
-12.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
62.5% (8)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.8% (86)
+11.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Bailey
Acciari
Home
37.9% (58)
56.2% (281)
Away
47.4% (38)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Bailey
Acciari
P1
47.2%
53.4%
P2
41.7%
57.1%
P3
33.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
36.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |