Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Blueger 50.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 50.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 90.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 81.9%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Bailey
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bailey
Blueger
Last 5: Bailey 4-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
52.2% (3,582)
-6.4%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
50.6% (77)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
42.7% (1,103)
-2.8%
On even strength, Blueger has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Bailey
Blueger
Home
46.6% (1,353)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Bailey
Blueger
P1
46.5%
49.2%
P2
44.8%
52.2%
P3
44.4%
48.6%
OT
51.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |