Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Doan wins 27.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Doan 44.1% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 85.0%
Defensive zone
Doan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Doan 78.6%
Result
Josh Doan favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Doan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Doan
Zibanejad
Last 5: Doan 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Doan
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Doan
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Doan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (93)
50.9% (11,756)
-12.2%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
52.2% (1,852)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.6% (1,796)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Doan is 27.0% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Doan shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Doan
Zibanejad
Home
30.4% (56)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
47.4% (57)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Doan
Zibanejad
P1
37.5%
50.4%
P2
47.5%
49.7%
P3
28.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
25.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Doan
40.0%▬
38.9%
38.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Josh Doan |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |