Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Jooris 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jooris 66.7%
Neutral zone
Jooris 60.1%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Jooris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Jooris
Stastny
Last 10: Jooris 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Jooris
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Jooris
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Jooris
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.0%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
59.1% (1,994)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
52.9% (1,119)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Jooris
Stastny
Home
49.0% (786)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
46.4% (651)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Jooris
Stastny
P1
47.5%
56.3%
P2
44.3%
55.4%
P3
51.3%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |