Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 83.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 52.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 64.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Norris
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Norris
Stenlund
Last 10: Norris 2-8 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Norris
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
5
Norris
Stenlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
55.3% (2,738)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
52.6% (116)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
50.4% (924)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Norris
Stenlund
Home
53.1% (1,896)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Norris
Stenlund
P1
55.5%
56.2%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
50.1%
53.0%
OT
39.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |