Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 58.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 57.2%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Norris
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Norris
Carlsson
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Norris
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
1
Norris
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
6
Norris
Carlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
40.9% (1,878)
+11.6%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
42.9% (156)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
34.7% (121)
+10.7%
On even strength, Norris has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
Norris
Carlsson
Home
53.1% (1,896)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Norris
Carlsson
P1
55.5%
43.3%
P2
51.5%
36.2%
P3
50.1%
43.3%
OT
39.5%
40.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:53 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |