Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 55.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Norris
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Norris
Jankowski
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
Norris
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
51.5% (3,490)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
53.7% (95)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
42.7% (534)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Norris
Jankowski
Home
53.1% (1,896)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Norris
Jankowski
P1
55.5%
49.8%
P2
51.5%
51.1%
P3
50.1%
50.3%
OT
39.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |