Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Coronato 42.2% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 53.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 88.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 70.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Norris
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Coronato
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
2
Norris
Coronato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
38.2% (262)
+14.3%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
47.1% (70)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
0.0% (2)
+45.4%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Coronato is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Norris
Coronato
Home
53.1% (1,896)
39.8% (176)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
39.9% (158)
By Period
Norris
Coronato
P1
55.5%
41.9%
P2
51.5%
37.6%
P3
50.1%
38.5%
OT
39.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |