Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 42-20 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 61.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 81.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 72.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Norris
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
20
(62 meetings)
42
20
Norris
Suzuki
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
12
8
Norris
Suzuki
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
15
3
Norris
Suzuki
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
15
9
Norris
Suzuki
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
49.4% (6,368)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
50.8% (1,355)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
44.0% (466)
+1.4%
On even strength, Norris has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Norris
Suzuki
Home
53.1% (1,896)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Norris
Suzuki
P1
55.5%
48.9%
P2
51.5%
49.1%
P3
50.1%
50.3%
OT
39.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |