Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Norris 73.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Norris
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
54.6% (271)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
54.4% (90)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Norris
Sturm
Home
48.1% (233)
53.0% (168)
Away
51.6% (246)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Norris
Sturm
P1
53.1%
58.2%
P2
49.2%
53.2%
P3
48.4%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%