Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Patrick 51.0% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Norris
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
50.6% (1,978)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
57.5% (120)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
57.7% (26)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Norris
Patrick
Home
53.1% (1,896)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Norris
Patrick
P1
55.5%
52.9%
P2
51.5%
49.1%
P3
50.1%
51.3%
OT
39.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%