Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 55.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Norris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Norris
Stastny
Last 10: Norris 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
3
Norris
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
3
2
Norris
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.1%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Norris
Stastny
Home
53.1% (1,896)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Norris
Stastny
P1
55.5%
56.3%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
50.1%
53.5%
OT
39.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |