Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Norris
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Norris
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
53.9% (787)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
63.2% (193)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
44.3% (88)
+2.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Norris
Zacha
Home
50.7% (351)
56.7% (538)
Away
54.0% (278)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Norris
Zacha
P1
55.6%
52.6%
P2
49.3%
54.8%
P3
52.1%
56.8%
OT
42.9%
59.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Josh Norris |