Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Dubois 44.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 70.9%
Defensive zone
Dubois 75.1%
Neutral zone
Dubois 75.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Norris
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Norris
Dubois
Last 8: Norris 2-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
4
Norris
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Norris
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (635)
43.2% (368)
+10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (70)
50.0% (14)
+0.0%
On even strength, Norris has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Norris shoots left. Dubois is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Norris
Dubois
Home
52.7% (366)
44.6% (130)
Away
52.0% (358)
42.9% (252)
By Period
Norris
Dubois
P1
50.4%
49.6%
P2
53.9%
37.6%
P3
52.2%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |