Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Dubois 48.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dubois 55.2%
Neutral zone
Dubois 56.8%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Norris
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Norris
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Norris
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
44.8% (259)
+5.7%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
70.6% (34)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
75.0% (8)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Norris
Dubois
Home
48.1% (233)
46.6% (163)
Away
51.6% (246)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Norris
Dubois
P1
53.1%
44.0%
P2
49.2%
51.5%
P3
48.4%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Josh Norris |