Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Colton 51.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 60.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 62.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 64.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Norris
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Norris
Colton
Last 10: Norris 3-7 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
5
Norris
Colton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
51.6% (1,803)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
48.8% (162)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
34.5% (29)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Norris
Colton
Home
53.1% (1,896)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Norris
Colton
P1
55.5%
53.7%
P2
51.5%
52.6%
P3
50.1%
47.9%
OT
39.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Ross Colton |