Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs McLeod 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Norris
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Norris
McLeod
Last 9: Norris 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Norris
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
50.4% (3,376)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
50.7% (296)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
44.1% (644)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Norris
McLeod
Home
53.1% (1,896)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Norris
McLeod
P1
55.5%
50.8%
P2
51.5%
48.0%
P3
50.1%
50.0%
OT
39.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |