Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 78.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 54.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 66.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Norris
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Norris
Lafferty
Last 9: Norris 5-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
0
Norris
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Norris
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Norris
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
47.9% (1,417)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
45.7% (46)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
43.5% (184)
+1.9%
On power play, Norris has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Norris
Lafferty
Home
53.1% (1,896)
47.3% (833)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Norris
Lafferty
P1
55.5%
49.4%
P2
51.5%
43.1%
P3
50.1%
49.6%
OT
39.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |