Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 68.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 71.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Norris
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Norris
Couturier
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
6
1
Norris
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
6
Norris
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Norris
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
53.9% (792)
-3.4%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
62.9% (70)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.3% (234)
-8.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Norris
Couturier
Home
48.1% (233)
51.4% (541)
Away
51.6% (246)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Norris
Couturier
P1
53.1%
56.0%
P2
49.2%
52.6%
P3
48.4%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |