Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Aho 51.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 66.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 64.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Norris
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Norris
Aho
Last 10: Norris 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
5
Norris
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
3
2
Norris
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
50.2% (6,646)
+2.3%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
46.5% (465)
-1.1%
On power play, Aho has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Norris
Aho
Home
53.1% (1,896)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Norris
Aho
P1
55.5%
51.1%
P2
51.5%
52.1%
P3
50.1%
50.8%
OT
39.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Josh Norris |