Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 22-22 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 67.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Norris
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
22
(44 meetings)
22
22
Norris
Crosby
Last 10: Norris 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
9
Norris
Crosby
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
9
2
Norris
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
10
11
Norris
Crosby
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
52.8% (18,031)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
57.4% (4,741)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
47.0% (766)
-1.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Norris
Crosby
Home
53.1% (1,896)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Norris
Crosby
P1
55.5%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
53.8%
P3
50.1%
53.3%
OT
39.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |