Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 74.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 76.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 74.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Norris
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Norris
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Norris
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
58.0% (666)
-7.5%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
64.8% (165)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
43.4% (152)
-0.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Norris shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Norris
Trocheck
Home
48.1% (233)
55.3% (436)
Away
51.6% (246)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Norris
Trocheck
P1
53.1%
56.4%
P2
49.2%
58.7%
P3
48.4%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |