Juho Lammikko vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Lammikko wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 49.5% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 82.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
0
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
0
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (108)
49.7% (1,038)
-0.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
63.7% (157)
+36.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.4% (32)
-34.4%
On power play, Lammikko has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lammikko is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Lammikko shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Home
48.5% (33)
53.1% (618)
Away
49.4% (79)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Lammikko
MacKinnon
P1
59.0%
49.3%
P2
42.5%
53.0%
P3
45.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |