Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Lammikko wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 47.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 68.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 52.1%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 56.2%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Lammikko
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lammikko
Carrick
Last 5: Lammikko 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lammikko
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Lammikko
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,252)
52.2% (2,544)
-3.6%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
61.3% (75)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (135)
50.8% (435)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lammikko is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (466).
Lammikko shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Carrick
Home
48.0% (690)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
47.5% (724)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Lammikko
Carrick
P1
48.7%
51.8%
P2
47.6%
52.3%
P3
46.9%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |