Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Khaira on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Khaira wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.7% vs Paul 52.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 84.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 73.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Khaira
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Khaira
Paul
Last 6: Khaira 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
1
0
Khaira
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
2
1
Khaira
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Khaira
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (1,154)
52.6% (3,823)
-4.8%
Power Play
47.9% (48)
56.2% (484)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (192)
46.9% (576)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Khaira is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Khaira shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Khaira
Paul
Home
47.6% (668)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
45.5% (726)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Khaira
Paul
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
44.9%
51.0%
P3
46.1%
52.2%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
46.5%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |