Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Khaira on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Khaira wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.7% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 70.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 63.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Khaira
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Khaira
Nosek
Last 7: Khaira 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Khaira
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Khaira
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
3
0
Khaira
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (1,154)
54.9% (2,710)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.9% (48)
45.8% (48)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (192)
47.2% (428)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Khaira is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Khaira shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Khaira
Nosek
Home
47.6% (668)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
45.5% (726)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Khaira
Nosek
P1
48.5%
52.2%
P2
44.9%
54.1%
P3
46.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
46.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |